Peter Treadway, PhD
More Money, More Instability
Another Wall of Money on Its Way
[World] Throwing Good Money After Bad
“The surest way to destroy a nation is to debauch its currency.”; “The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them.” ...[World] The Euro Solution - Buy Now, Cry Later
In the last issue of The Dismal Optimist I wrote “One thing seems likely. The Europeans will come up with some kind of solution for Greece. No matter how stupid it is the stock markets will probably rally. Buy now, cry later.” It looks like that statement was correct. The stock markets anyway seem to be happy. For now....[World] The Great Recession Marches On
"When the weasel says ‘Happy New Year’ to the chicken, this is not good news.”...[World] The Coming Age Of Defaults
“Some people actually believe government can create jobs by taxing and borrowing from people with jobs and then giving that money to people without jobs. ...[World] The Money’s Gotta Go Somewhere
“Money is a spiritual thing. It has no rank yet is revered; it has not status yet it is welcomed. Where there is money, danger ...[World] Brave New World
The S&P downgrade of US Treasury obligations, though of little practical significance, should be viewed as a prophecy. A prophecy of what will happen if confidence in the cornerstone of the international monetary system – the US dollar – is lost....[World] Gold On Hold
“The 19th century experienced monetary stability, and all the economically advanced countries clung faithfully to the gold standard; in the 20th century they have gone ...[Business] The Markets Will Decide
As I write this, the stock market is going up again. It would not matter if the world were indeed coming to an end. (Actually it might be.) Zero percent short term interest rates and reasonably healthy corporate profits are enough....[World] The End Is Nigh?
“The ultimate result of shielding man from the effects of folly is to people the world with fools.”...Author Info
Peter Treadway, PhD
is an independent consultant and money manager and Adjunct Professor in Asia.
He is currently is principal of Historical Analytics, LLC. Historical Analytics is a consulting/investment management firm dedicated to global portfolio management. Its investment approach is based on Dr. Treadway’s combined top-down and bottom-up Wall Street experience as economist, strategist and securities analyst. A monthly letter entitled The Dismal Optimist is produced for clients.
Dr. Treadway also serves in a part time capacity as Chief Economist, C T RISKS, a new Hong Kong company that will assist Asian financial institutions with their risk management problems.
On the educational front, Dr. Treadway has developed a special Masters level course focusing on securities analysis and discounted cash flow and incorporating elements of standard equilibrium pricing models, behavioral finance and historical trends. This course has been given as Adjunct Professor at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (SUFE) and the City University of Hong Kong.
From 1965-2000 Dr. Treadway had a distinguished career on Wall Street and with major American financial institutions. For example, from 1978-1981 he served as Chief Economist at Fannie Mae. From 1985-1998 he served as institutional equity analyst and Managing Director at Smith Barney following savings and loans and government sponsored entities(GSEs). He was ranked as “all star” analyst eleven times by Institutional Investor Magazine.
Dr. Treadway holds a PhD in economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, an MBA from New York University and a BA in English from Fordham University in Bronx, New York.
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